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I remember the complaints during the election about rcp using certain polls which deliberately distorted the averages in favor of trump You need to look at the 5 way Those are the margins between the rcp average in those states, and the election results
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So while pollsters overestimated republicans in the midterms (because they thought trump supporters were going to vote, which they didn't because trump supporters don't vote for the swamp), pollsters underestimated trump in the general election every time. People keep posting these one off polls to support their side but here is the site where you can see the rcp averages So you are basing all your hopes and dreams on the rcp for today
Do i have that right
It's early and i'm sure we will be inundated with polls throughout the day. Biden is in deep trouble Rcp polls came out today Times has trump beating biden in georgia+6
Here are the averages for all the august polls in swing states so far on 538 and rcp Arizona there have been 9 polls this month Have you noticed that in rcp, the polls that shows trump pulling ahead are battleground states that decides the election and the polls that show harris winning is popular vote The only state poll showing harris by 1 is pa by umass lowell 2 days ago
7 battleground states and only one for kamala in pa by 1, two days ago.
Take the rcp average of polls and add about 4.5% number to trump's number and you will be close to what happens on election night when they count the votes The betting markets have shifted back to trump and dem internal polls are being leaked that they know they're going to lose. Trump up 2 in indiana and 17 in oregon but as we know polls mean nothing unless hrc is winning
